Gavin Tucker vs Justin Jaynes

August 7, 2020

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1071
(+37)
Gavin Tucker
Winner: Gavin Tucker
Submission
Round 3 • 1:43

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gavin Tucker+37
Justin Jaynes-34
1018
(-34)
Justin Jaynes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +32Justin Jaynes: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1031 041
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Gavin Tucker's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gavin Tucker for the expected result. Had Justin Jaynes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +21Justin Jaynes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 039998
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +75Justin Jaynes: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:431:43
Win Type ELO1 1301 072
ELO Change+75-50
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What Happened

Gavin Tucker earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Justin Jaynes was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +56Justin Jaynes: -56

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Significant Strikes Landed8741
Significant Strikes Attempted211101
Total Strikes Landed8842
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0241 040
ELO Change+56-56
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What Happened

Gavin Tucker controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 42 total strikes, 87 vs 41 significant strikes. Gavin Tucker capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +49Justin Jaynes: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time1:240:38
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO1 146995
ELO Change+49-49
💡

What Happened

Gavin Tucker controlled Justin Jaynes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:24 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +19Justin Jaynes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Days Since Last Fight37849
Activity ELO1 0391 001
ELO Change+19-21
💡

What Happened

Gavin Tucker demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gavin Tucker capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Jaynes's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +25Justin Jaynes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0481 001
ELO Change+25-21
💡

What Happened

Gavin Tucker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Jaynes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gavin Tucker: +21Justin Jaynes: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 039998
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.