August 7, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Ray Borg's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ray Borg for the expected result. Had Geane Herrera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Ray Borg earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 954 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Ray Borg dominated the striking exchanges with 85 vs 24 total strikes, 26 vs 7 significant strikes. Ray Borg capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 13:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 969 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Ray Borg controlled Geane Herrera on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:55 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +29 |
Ray Borg demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ray Borg capitalized on this activity level, while Geane Herrera's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Ray Borg extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Geane Herrera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Geane Herrera | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.