Gegard Mousasi vs Jacare Souza

September 4, 2014

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1070
(-31)
Gegard Mousasi
Winner: Jacare Souza
Submission
Round 3 • 4:30

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gegard Mousasi-31
Jacare Souza+35
1241
(+35)
Jacare Souza

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -13Jacare Souza: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Total UFC Fights44
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 0741 249
ELO Change-13+19
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -18Jacare Souza: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0191 098
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -26Jacare Souza: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish4:304:30
Win Type ELO1 1331 335
ELO Change-26+39
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What Happened

Jacare Souza earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:30, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Gegard Mousasi was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -11Jacare Souza: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Significant Strikes Landed2632
Significant Strikes Attempted5656
Total Strikes Landed7859
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1301 367
ELO Change-11+11
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What Happened

Gegard Mousasi controlled the striking through superior volume (78 vs 59 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (26 vs 32), superior accuracy (46.4% vs 57.1%). However, since Gegard Mousasi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jacare Souza's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -125Jacare Souza: +125

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted010
Ground Control Time0:1410:48
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO1 0771 461
ELO Change-125+125
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What Happened

Jacare Souza dominated Gegard Mousasi on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:48 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -17Jacare Souza: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Days Since Last Fight97202
Activity ELO1 0861 190
ELO Change-17+21
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What Happened

Jacare Souza demonstrated standard activity with 202 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jacare Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Gegard Mousasi's 97-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -18Jacare Souza: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0271 128
ELO Change-18+25
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What Happened

Jacare Souza extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gegard Mousasi is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: -18Jacare Souza: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiJacare Souza
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0161 098
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.