May 30, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -46 |
Gegard Mousasi overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mark Munoz.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:57 | 3:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | +122 | -74 |
Gegard Mousasi earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 141 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Gegard Mousasi controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 3 total strikes, 18 vs 3 significant strikes, 62.1% vs 33.3% accuracy. Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:32 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 202 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +188 | -188 |
Gegard Mousasi dominated Mark Munoz on the ground with 1:32 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -35 |
Gegard Mousasi demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Munoz's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Gegard Mousasi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Munoz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Mark Munoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.