February 26, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 186 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -36 |
Gegard Mousasi overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thales Leites.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 317 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Gegard Mousasi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 81 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 171 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 267 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Gegard Mousasi dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 19 total strikes, 81 vs 17 significant strikes, 47.4% vs 24.3% accuracy. Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:42 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 255 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Gegard Mousasi controlled Thales Leites on the ground with 3:42 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 226 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -27 |
Gegard Mousasi demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this activity level, while Thales Leites's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Gegard Mousasi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thales Leites is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.