Gegard Mousasi vs Thiago Santos

July 8, 2016

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1243
(+59)
Gegard Mousasi
Winner: Gegard Mousasi
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gegard Mousasi+59
Thiago Santos-49
1136
(-49)
Thiago Santos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +28Thiago Santos: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Total UFC Fights98
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 2141 120
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +21Thiago Santos: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0911 048
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +100Thiago Santos: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:324:32
Win Type ELO1 4171 309
ELO Change+100-47
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What Happened

Gegard Mousasi earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +177Thiago Santos: -177

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Significant Strikes Landed215
Significant Strikes Attempted3413
Total Strikes Landed395
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 4441 213
ELO Change+177-177
💡

What Happened

Gegard Mousasi controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 5 total strikes, 21 vs 5 significant strikes, 61.8% vs 38.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +61Thiago Santos: -61

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time2:090:00
Ground Strikes Landed101
Ground ELO1 3161 150
ELO Change+61-61
💡

What Happened

Gegard Mousasi landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +32Thiago Santos: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Days Since Last Fight13356
Activity ELO1 2581 127
ELO Change+32-16
💡

What Happened

Gegard Mousasi demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Santos's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +26Thiago Santos: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1161 074
ELO Change+26-21
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What Happened

Gegard Mousasi extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Santos is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gegard Mousasi: +21Thiago Santos: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGegard MousasiThiago Santos
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0841 048
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.