October 7, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 275 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -33 |
Gegard Mousasi overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vitor Belfort.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 118 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:43 | 2:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 532 | 1 481 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -56 |
Gegard Mousasi gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 114 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 535 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Gegard Mousasi dominated the striking exchanges with 65 vs 9 total strikes, 57 vs 8 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 30.8% accuracy. Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:32 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 374 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Gegard Mousasi controlled Vitor Belfort on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:32 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 326 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -27 |
Gegard Mousasi demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gegard Mousasi capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Belfort's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 149 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -25 |
Gegard Mousasi extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Belfort is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gegard Mousasi | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.