December 2, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 935 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 917 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Natan Levy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 158 | 135 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 659 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Natan Levy controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 49 significant strikes, 49.6% vs 31.0% accuracy. Natan Levy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 4:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 881 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Natan Levy controlled Genaro Valdez on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 4:40 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Natan Levy demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Natan Levy capitalized on this activity level, while Genaro Valdez's 315-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Natan Levy extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Genaro Valdez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Genaro Valdez | Natan Levy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.