April 1, 2004
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Genki Sudo's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Genki Sudo for the expected result. Had Mike Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:31 | 3:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 081 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -40 |
Genki Sudo earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 015 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Mike Brown controlled the striking through superior volume (36 vs 10 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (13 vs 6), superior accuracy (86.7% vs 75.0%). However, since Mike Brown lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Genki Sudo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 2:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 147 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Genki Sudo controlled Mike Brown on the ground with 1 takedown, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Genki Sudo demonstrated standard activity with 343 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Genki Sudo capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Brown's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Genki Sudo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Genki Sudo | Mike Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

