December 13, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 222 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -28 |
Geoff Neal overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Perry.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:30 | 1:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 391 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -39 |
Geoff Neal earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 380 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Geoff Neal controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 5 significant strikes, 65.2% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Geoff Neal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 258 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 187 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -26 |
Geoff Neal demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Geoff Neal capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Perry's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 142 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -19 |
Geoff Neal continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Mike Perry's now at 0.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 100 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

