Geoff Neal vs Neil Magny

May 7, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1177
(-23)
Geoff Neal
Winner: Neil Magny
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Geoff Neal-23
Neil Magny+24
1329
(+24)
Neil Magny

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -26Neil Magny: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Total UFC Fights725
Experience Gap-1818
Experience ELO1 1681 278
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Neil Magny's 18-fight experience advantage (25 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Geoff Neal pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -16Neil Magny: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0651 188
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -32Neil Magny: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3291 473
ELO Change-32+32
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What Happened

Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -40Neil Magny: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Significant Strikes Landed3555
Significant Strikes Attempted73174
Total Strikes Landed3789
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3091 384
ELO Change-40+40
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 89 vs 37 total strikes, 55 vs 35 significant strikes, 31.6% vs 47.9% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -33Neil Magny: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted210
Ground Control Time3:501:43
Ground Strikes Landed13
Ground ELO1 2051 386
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny edged out Geoff Neal on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:43 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -6Neil Magny: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Days Since Last Fight140108
Activity ELO1 1651 483
ELO Change-6+16
💡

What Happened

Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 108 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Geoff Neal's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -14Neil Magny: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 1121 261
ELO Change-14+15
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What Happened

Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Geoff Neal is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: -16Neil Magny: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealNeil Magny
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0641 177
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.