July 26, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 181 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -34 |
Geoff Neal overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Niko Price.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 298 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | +124 | -61 |
Geoff Neal gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 287 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Geoff Neal controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 24 significant strikes, 67.2% vs 42.1% accuracy. Geoff Neal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:37 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 27 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 212 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Geoff Neal controlled Niko Price on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:37 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 134 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Geoff Neal demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Geoff Neal capitalized on this activity level, while Niko Price's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -21 |
Geoff Neal extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Niko Price is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Geoff Neal | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.