Geoff Neal vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

December 10, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1207
(+30)
Geoff Neal
Winner: Geoff Neal
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Geoff Neal+30
Santiago Ponzinibbio-27
1245
(-27)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +55Santiago Ponzinibbio: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Total UFC Fights814
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 2231 217
ELO Change+55-39
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What Happened

Geoff Neal overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Santiago Ponzinibbio.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +26Santiago Ponzinibbio: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0911 115
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +15Santiago Ponzinibbio: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3441 464
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Geoff Neal receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +24Santiago Ponzinibbio: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Significant Strikes Landed8591
Significant Strikes Attempted161229
Total Strikes Landed8691
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3331 337
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (91 vs 85), superior accuracy (39.7% vs 52.8%). However, since Santiago Ponzinibbio lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Geoff Neal's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +25Santiago Ponzinibbio: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:030:23
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2301 248
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +34Santiago Ponzinibbio: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Days Since Last Fight218190
Activity ELO1 1991 248
ELO Change+34-27
💡

What Happened

Geoff Neal demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Geoff Neal capitalized on this activity level, while Santiago Ponzinibbio's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +32Santiago Ponzinibbio: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1441 219
ELO Change+32-29
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What Happened

Geoff Neal started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Santiago Ponzinibbio is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Geoff Neal: +26Santiago Ponzinibbio: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricGeoff NealSantiago Ponzinibbio
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0901 115
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.