December 12, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Shane Nelson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
George Roop controlled the striking through superior volume (93 vs 69 total strikes), significant strike advantage (21 vs 10). However, since George Roop lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Shane Nelson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:57 | 7:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Shane Nelson controlled George Roop on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 7:58 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Shane Nelson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Shane Nelson capitalized on this activity level, while George Roop's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Shane Nelson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. George Roop is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | George Roop | Shane Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.