January 26, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 001 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:21 | 4:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +45 |
Niko Price earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:21, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. George Sullivan was submitted.
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Niko Price slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 51.1% vs 34.4% accuracy. Niko Price capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:04 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 908 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Niko Price controlled George Sullivan on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:58 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 728 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Niko Price demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Niko Price capitalized on this activity level, while George Sullivan's 728-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Niko Price started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. George Sullivan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | George Sullivan | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.