George Sullivan vs Tim Means

April 17, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1035
(-47)
George Sullivan
Winner: Tim Means
Submission
Round 3 • 3:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

George Sullivan-47
Tim Means+59
1148
(+59)
Tim Means

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -34Tim Means: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Total UFC Fights39
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 0291 073
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Tim Means's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had George Sullivan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -21Tim Means: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0221 061
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -43Tim Means: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:413:41
Win Type ELO1 0971 199
ELO Change-43+64
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What Happened

Tim Means earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. George Sullivan was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -51Tim Means: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Significant Strikes Landed3948
Significant Strikes Attempted164130
Total Strikes Landed4369
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1031 265
ELO Change-51+51
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What Happened

Tim Means controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 43 total strikes, 48 vs 39 significant strikes, 36.9% vs 23.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -175Tim Means: +175

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted52
Ground Control Time0:273:46
Ground Strikes Landed09
Ground ELO9391 214
ELO Change-175+175
💡

What Happened

Tim Means dominated George Sullivan on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:46 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -15Tim Means: +75

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Days Since Last Fight21749
Activity ELO1 0351 227
ELO Change-15+75
💡

What Happened

Tim Means demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while George Sullivan's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -21Tim Means: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0291 085
ELO Change-21+29
💡

What Happened

Tim Means extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. George Sullivan is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
George Sullivan: -21Tim Means: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGeorge SullivanTim Means
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0221 061
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.