April 15, 2005
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 102 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Georges St-Pierre's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Georges St-Pierre for the expected result. Had Jason Miller pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 141 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Georges St-Pierre earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 236 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated the striking exchanges with 117 vs 28 total strikes, 64 vs 16 significant strikes, 68.1% vs 39.0% accuracy. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:43 | 1:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 45 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 211 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated Jason Miller on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 9:43 of control time, 45 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Miller's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Georges St-Pierre started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jason Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

