June 18, 2004
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:42 | 1:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 137 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -36 |
Georges St-Pierre earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 227 | 888 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -112 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated the striking exchanges with 37 vs 5 total strikes, 24 vs 5 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 55.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Georges St-Pierre landed 2 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Jay Hieron's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Georges St-Pierre extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jay Hieron is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jay Hieron |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

