November 15, 2013
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 453 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Georges St-Pierre's 9-fight experience advantage (21 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Georges St-Pierre for the expected result. Had Johny Hendricks pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 496 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -7 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Georges St-Pierre captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 684 | 1 588 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Georges St-Pierre receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 101 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 221 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 125 | 142 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 769 | 1 567 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Georges St-Pierre controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 85 significant strikes. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:52 | 5:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 808 | 1 462 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Georges St-Pierre edged out Johny Hendricks on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 2:52 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 516 | 1 356 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Johny Hendricks's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 12 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 551 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -10 |
Georges St-Pierre extended his incredible 12-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Johny Hendricks is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Johny Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 309 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.