August 8, 2008
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 322 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Georges St-Pierre's 4-fight experience advantage (13 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Georges St-Pierre for the expected result. Had Jon Fitch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 317 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -14 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Georges St-Pierre captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 530 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Georges St-Pierre earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 131 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 226 | 132 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 203 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 632 | 1 329 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -110 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated the striking exchanges with 203 vs 96 total strikes, 131 vs 37 significant strikes, 58.0% vs 28.0% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:13 | 1:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 49 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 711 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated Jon Fitch on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 11:13 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 392 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -17 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Jon Fitch's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 264 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -22 |
Georges St-Pierre extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jon Fitch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 187 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.