August 24, 2007
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 233 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 204 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 389 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Georges St-Pierre earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 392 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 14 total strikes, 38 vs 4 significant strikes, 62.3% vs 9.8% accuracy. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:18 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 486 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Georges St-Pierre controlled Josh Koscheck on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 9:18 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 274 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -25 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Koscheck's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 184 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Georges St-Pierre started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Koscheck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 128 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.