March 15, 2013
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 430 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Georges St-Pierre's 7-fight experience advantage (20 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Georges St-Pierre for the expected result. Had Nick Diaz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 476 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -3 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Georges St-Pierre captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 676 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
Georges St-Pierre earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 105 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 167 | 136 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 210 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 757 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated the striking exchanges with 210 vs 80 total strikes, 105 vs 41 significant strikes, 62.9% vs 30.1% accuracy. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 16 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:44 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 32 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 797 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated Nick Diaz on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 13:44 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 499 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -5 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Diaz's 406-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 11 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 482 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -4 |
Georges St-Pierre extended his incredible 11-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Nick Diaz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Georges St-Pierre | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 294 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.