August 27, 2021
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Gerald Meerschaert's 10-fight experience advantage (14 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gerald Meerschaert for the expected result. Had Makhmud Muradov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:49 | 1:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 277 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -42 |
Gerald Meerschaert earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Makhmud Muradov was submitted.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Makhmud Muradov controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (40 vs 32), superior accuracy (40.4% vs 57.1%). However, since Makhmud Muradov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gerald Meerschaert's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Gerald Meerschaert controlled Makhmud Muradov on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 0:55 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 150 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Gerald Meerschaert demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this activity level, while Makhmud Muradov's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Gerald Meerschaert extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Makhmud Muradov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Makhmud Muradov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

