July 5, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 124 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Gerald Meerschaert's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gerald Meerschaert for the expected result. Had Oskar Piechota pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:55 | 4:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 251 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -34 |
Gerald Meerschaert earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Oskar Piechota was submitted.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 177 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Gerald Meerschaert dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 31 total strikes, 51 vs 23 significant strikes. Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:30 | 3:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 241 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +153 | -153 |
Gerald Meerschaert dominated Oskar Piechota on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 2:30 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 138 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Gerald Meerschaert demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this activity level, while Oskar Piechota's 138-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Gerald Meerschaert extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Oskar Piechota is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Oskar Piechota |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

