February 18, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:34 | 1:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 138 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -39 |
Gerald Meerschaert earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Ryan Janes controlled the striking through superior accuracy (37.5% vs 50.0%). However, since Ryan Janes lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gerald Meerschaert's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 121 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Gerald Meerschaert edged out Ryan Janes on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 72 | 72 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -21 |
Gerald Meerschaert demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 72 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Gerald Meerschaert capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Janes's 72-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Gerald Meerschaert extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Janes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gerald Meerschaert | Ryan Janes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

