November 13, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 955 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 019 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tony Gravely receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 108 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Geraldo de Freitas controlled the striking through superior volume (108 vs 86 total strikes), significant strike advantage (76 vs 49), superior accuracy (59.4% vs 48.5%). However, since Geraldo de Freitas lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tony Gravely's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 9:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 845 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -144 | +144 |
Tony Gravely dominated Geraldo de Freitas on the ground with 7 vs 1 takedowns, 9:55 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 463 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Tony Gravely demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Tony Gravely capitalized on this activity level, while Geraldo de Freitas's 463-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Tony Gravely started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Geraldo de Freitas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Geraldo de Freitas | Tony Gravely |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.