November 12, 1993
UFC 1 Tournament Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +63 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Royce Gracie captured the UFC 1 Tournament Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:44 | 1:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +93 |
Royce Gracie earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 205 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -120 | +120 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 210 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +210 |
Royce Gracie demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Royce Gracie capitalized on this activity level, while Gerard Gordeau's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Royce Gracie extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gerard Gordeau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gerard Gordeau | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

