April 5, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 137 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 131 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 291 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Norma Dumont earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 273 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Germaine de Randamie controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (91 vs 49 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (16 vs 11), superior accuracy (48.5% vs 37.9%). However, since Germaine de Randamie lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Norma Dumont's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:21 | 10:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 048 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Norma Dumont dominated Germaine de Randamie on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:04 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 281 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Norma Dumont demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Norma Dumont capitalized on this activity level, while Germaine de Randamie's 1281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +33 |
Norma Dumont extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Germaine de Randamie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Germaine de Randamie | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.