Gerry Harris vs Paul Varelans

September 7, 1995

Open Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

957
(-43)
Gerry Harris
Winner: Paul Varelans
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:05

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gerry Harris-43
Paul Varelans+60
1066
(+60)
Paul Varelans

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -31Paul Varelans: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9691 032
ELO Change-31+32
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Varelans for the expected result. Had Gerry Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -21Paul Varelans: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -35Paul Varelans: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:051:05
Win Type ELO9651 145
ELO Change-35+83
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -127Paul Varelans: +127

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Significant Strikes Landed04
Significant Strikes Attempted24
Total Strikes Landed035
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8731 145
ELO Change-127+127
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 0 total strikes, 100.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Paul Varelans capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -64Paul Varelans: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time----
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO9361 032
ELO Change-64+64
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -21Paul Varelans: +105

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Days Since Last FightN/A56
Activity ELO9791 105
ELO Change-21+105
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Paul Varelans capitalized on this activity level, while Gerry Harris's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -21Paul Varelans: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 025
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gerry Harris is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gerry Harris: -21Paul Varelans: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGerry HarrisPaul Varelans
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.