December 4, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +59 |
Jake Collier overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gian Villante.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 954 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Jake Collier earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 80 | 123 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 197 | 272 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 888 | 941 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jake Collier controlled the striking exchanges with 126 vs 81 total strikes, 123 vs 80 significant strikes. Jake Collier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 908 | 940 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +50 |
Jake Collier demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Collier capitalized on this activity level, while Gian Villante's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 972 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jake Collier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gian Villante is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 952 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.