June 26, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +54 |
Maurice Greene overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gian Villante.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 975 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:44 | 3:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +72 |
Maurice Greene earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Gian Villante was submitted.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Gian Villante controlled the striking through superior volume (91 vs 64 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (72 vs 63), superior accuracy (68.6% vs 46.0%), 1 knockdown. However, since Gian Villante lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Maurice Greene's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:37 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 930 | 949 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Maurice Greene edged out Gian Villante on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 490 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +40 |
Maurice Greene demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Maurice Greene capitalized on this activity level, while Gian Villante's 490-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Maurice Greene started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gian Villante is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 972 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.