July 21, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 006 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 988 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 194 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Patrick Cummins receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 196 | 182 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Patrick Cummins edged the striking exchanges with 86 vs 72 significant strikes, 47.3% vs 36.7% accuracy. Patrick Cummins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 008 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Patrick Cummins edged out Gian Villante on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:06 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 058 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +40 |
Patrick Cummins demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cummins capitalized on this activity level, while Gian Villante's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Patrick Cummins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gian Villante is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.