Gian Villante vs Sam Alvey

May 31, 2018

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1040
(-16)
Gian Villante
Winner: Sam Alvey
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gian Villante-16
Sam Alvey+19
1194
(+19)
Sam Alvey

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -26Sam Alvey: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Total UFC Fights1315
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0081 116
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Sam Alvey's 2-fight experience advantage (15 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Alvey for the expected result. Had Gian Villante pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -17Sam Alvey: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9941 099
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -9Sam Alvey: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1921 274
ELO Change-9+9
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sam Alvey receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -27Sam Alvey: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Significant Strikes Landed5053
Significant Strikes Attempted133122
Total Strikes Landed5059
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0301 285
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sam Alvey capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -13Sam Alvey: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0171 190
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -8Sam Alvey: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Days Since Last Fight13297
Activity ELO1 0761 357
ELO Change-8+20
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey demonstrated solid activity levels with 97 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sam Alvey capitalized on this activity level, while Gian Villante's 132-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -16Sam Alvey: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0101 133
ELO Change-16+19
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gian Villante is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -17Sam Alvey: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSam Alvey
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9911 096
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.