Gian Villante vs Saparbeg Safarov

December 8, 2016

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1084
(+35)
Gian Villante
Winner: Gian Villante
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gian Villante+35
Saparbeg Safarov-32
968
(-32)
Saparbeg Safarov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +29Saparbeg Safarov: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Total UFC Fights91
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 055971
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Gian Villante's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gian Villante for the expected result. Had Saparbeg Safarov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +21Saparbeg Safarov: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 024979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +43Saparbeg Safarov: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:542:54
Win Type ELO1 234979
ELO Change+43-21
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What Happened

Gian Villante gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +75Saparbeg Safarov: -75

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Significant Strikes Landed6037
Significant Strikes Attempted108131
Total Strikes Landed7337
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 162925
ELO Change+75-75
💡

What Happened

Gian Villante controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 37 total strikes, 60 vs 37 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 28.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gian Villante capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +54Saparbeg Safarov: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:230:12
Ground Strikes Landed100
Ground ELO1 047946
ELO Change+54-54
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What Happened

Gian Villante landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +17Saparbeg Safarov: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Days Since Last Fight279N/A
Activity ELO1 088983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Gian Villante demonstrated standard activity with 279 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Gian Villante capitalized on this activity level, while Saparbeg Safarov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +22Saparbeg Safarov: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 039980
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Gian Villante started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Saparbeg Safarov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: +21Saparbeg Safarov: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteSaparbeg Safarov
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 024979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.