June 27, 2014
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Gian Villante's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gian Villante for the expected result. Had Sean O'Connell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 046 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Gian Villante receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 93 | 109 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 164 | 228 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 153 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 018 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Sean O'Connell controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (153 vs 120 total strikes), significant strike advantage (109 vs 93), 1 knockdown. However, since Sean O'Connell lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gian Villante's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 4:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Gian Villante did not secure a significant ground advantage against Sean O'Connell on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 97 | 73 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Gian Villante demonstrated solid activity levels with 97 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gian Villante capitalized on this activity level, while Sean O'Connell's 73-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Gian Villante started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean O'Connell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gian Villante | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

