Gian Villante vs Tom Lawlor

July 24, 2015

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1032
(-30)
Gian Villante
Winner: Tom Lawlor
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:27

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gian Villante-30
Tom Lawlor+34
1124
(+34)
Tom Lawlor

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -30Tom Lawlor: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Total UFC Fights610
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 0221 095
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tom Lawlor for the expected result. Had Gian Villante pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -21Tom Lawlor: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0031 041
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -31Tom Lawlor: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:270:27
Win Type ELO1 1191 305
ELO Change-31+64
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -78Tom Lawlor: +78

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Significant Strikes Landed3122
Significant Strikes Attempted6452
Total Strikes Landed3125
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0121 194
ELO Change-78+78
💡

What Happened

Gian Villante controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (31 vs 22). However, since Gian Villante lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tom Lawlor's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -18Tom Lawlor: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:030:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0421 136
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -19Tom Lawlor: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Days Since Last Fight98840
Activity ELO1 0431 119
ELO Change-19+17
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor demonstrated extended layoff with 840 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tom Lawlor capitalized on this activity level, while Gian Villante's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -21Tom Lawlor: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0141 060
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gian Villante is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gian Villante: -21Tom Lawlor: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGian VillanteTom Lawlor
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0031 041
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.