August 5, 2005
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 950 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:22 | 0:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +74 |
Mike Swick secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:22 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 847 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Mike Swick controlled the striking exchanges with 7 vs 1 significant strikes, 70.0% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mike Swick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 898 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Mike Swick demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Swick capitalized on this activity level, while Gideon Ray's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Mike Swick extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gideon Ray is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gideon Ray | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

