Gilbert Aldana vs Paul Buentello

February 3, 2006

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

976
(-24)
Gilbert Aldana
Winner: Paul Buentello
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:27

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gilbert Aldana-24
Paul Buentello+30
1108
(+30)
Paul Buentello

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -25Paul Buentello: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9751 098
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Paul Buentello's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Buentello for the expected result. Had Gilbert Aldana pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -20Paul Buentello: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 044
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -25Paul Buentello: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:272:27
Win Type ELO9751 202
ELO Change-25+51
💡

What Happened

Paul Buentello gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -42Paul Buentello: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Significant Strikes Landed2849
Significant Strikes Attempted5471
Total Strikes Landed3867
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9581 181
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Paul Buentello controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 38 total strikes, 49 vs 28 significant strikes, 69.0% vs 51.9% accuracy. Paul Buentello capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -24Paul Buentello: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time1:481:57
Ground Strikes Landed36
Ground ELO9761 151
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Paul Buentello edged out Gilbert Aldana on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:57 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -18Paul Buentello: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Days Since Last FightN/A121
Activity ELO9821 090
ELO Change-18+36
💡

What Happened

Paul Buentello demonstrated solid activity levels with 121 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Buentello capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Aldana's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -19Paul Buentello: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9811 053
ELO Change-19+21
💡

What Happened

Paul Buentello started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Aldana is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Aldana: -20Paul Buentello: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert AldanaPaul Buentello
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 044
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.