Gilbert Burns vs Gunnar Nelson

September 27, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1244
(+40)
Gilbert Burns
Winner: Gilbert Burns
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gilbert Burns+40
Gunnar Nelson-30
1151
(-30)
Gunnar Nelson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +33Gunnar Nelson: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Total UFC Fights1312
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 2091 156
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (13 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +19Gunnar Nelson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1281 054
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +52Gunnar Nelson: -52

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3571 335
ELO Change+52-52
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What Happened

Gilbert Burns earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +23Gunnar Nelson: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Significant Strikes Landed3020
Significant Strikes Attempted7636
Total Strikes Landed4626
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2611 092
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns edged the striking exchanges with 46 vs 26 total strikes, 30 vs 20 significant strikes, 39.5% vs 55.6% accuracy. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +61Gunnar Nelson: -61

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted32
Ground Control Time1:554:48
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 4001 290
ELO Change+61-61
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns controlled Gunnar Nelson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:55 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +87Gunnar Nelson: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Days Since Last Fight49196
Activity ELO1 3031 139
ELO Change+87-17
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Gunnar Nelson's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +27Gunnar Nelson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 1631 088
ELO Change+27-19
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gunnar Nelson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +19Gunnar Nelson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsGunnar Nelson
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1281 053
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.