March 8, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 311 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +76 |
Jack Della Maddalena overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gilbert Burns.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 158 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:43 | 3:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 482 | 1 509 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +118 |
Jack Della Maddalena gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 123 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 320 | 1 534 |
| ELO Change | -117 | +117 |
Jack Della Maddalena dominated the striking exchanges with 85 vs 31 total strikes, 67 vs 27 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:07 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 540 | 1 372 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Jack Della Maddalena did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gilbert Burns on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:16 of control time, 16 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 309 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 430 | 1 366 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +51 |
Jack Della Maddalena demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Burns's 309-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 248 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +74 |
Jack Della Maddalena continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gilbert Burns's now at 0.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 145 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.