April 7, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 379 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Gilbert Burns overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (20 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jorge Masvidal.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 203 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 590 | 1 450 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Gilbert Burns earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 480 | 1 461 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Gilbert Burns slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:41 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 613 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Gilbert Burns dominated Jorge Masvidal on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:41 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 1 483 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Gilbert Burns demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 399-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 296 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -15 |
Gilbert Burns extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Masvidal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 188 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

