April 8, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 302 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +82 |
Khamzat Chimaev overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gilbert Burns.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 164 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 494 | 1 450 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Khamzat Chimaev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 119 | 108 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 200 | 223 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 141 | 124 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 425 | 1 515 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Gilbert Burns controlled the striking through superior volume (141 vs 124 total strikes), significant strike advantage (119 vs 108), superior accuracy (59.5% vs 48.4%). However, since Gilbert Burns lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Khamzat Chimaev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 2:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 478 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Khamzat Chimaev landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 398 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +53 |
Khamzat Chimaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Khamzat Chimaev capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Burns's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 255 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +59 |
Khamzat Chimaev continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gilbert Burns's now at 0.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 149 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

