September 23, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 096 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Michel Prazeres earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 169 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 011 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Michel Prazeres controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 46 total strikes, 67 vs 46 significant strikes. Michel Prazeres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 143 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Michel Prazeres controlled Gilbert Burns on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 1:09 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 79 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +68 |
Michel Prazeres demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Michel Prazeres capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Burns's 79-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Michel Prazeres extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Burns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.