Gilbert Burns vs Mike Davis

April 26, 2019

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1176
(+28)
Gilbert Burns
Winner: Gilbert Burns
Submission
Round 2 • 4:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gilbert Burns+28
Mike Davis-25
975
(-25)
Mike Davis

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +21Mike Davis: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Total UFC Fights111
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 139979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gilbert Burns for the expected result. Had Mike Davis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +17Mike Davis: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 090983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +24Mike Davis: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:154:15
Win Type ELO1 279984
ELO Change+24-16
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:15, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mike Davis was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +30Mike Davis: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Significant Strikes Landed4913
Significant Strikes Attempted8744
Total Strikes Landed8117
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 223970
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns dominated the striking exchanges with 81 vs 17 total strikes, 49 vs 13 significant strikes, 56.3% vs 29.5% accuracy. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +67Mike Davis: -67

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time5:270:00
Ground Strikes Landed170
Ground ELO1 304933
ELO Change+67-67
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns dominated Mike Davis on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:27 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +26Mike Davis: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Days Since Last Fight140N/A
Activity ELO1 168987
ELO Change+26-13
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Davis's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +19Mike Davis: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 112984
ELO Change+19-16
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Davis is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +17Mike Davis: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsMike Davis
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 090983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.