Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny

January 20, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1375
(+42)
Gilbert Burns
Winner: Gilbert Burns
Submission
Round 1 • 4:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gilbert Burns+42
Neil Magny-36
1293
(-36)
Neil Magny

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +51Neil Magny: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Total UFC Fights1929
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO1 3531 260
ELO Change+51-31
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (19 vs 29 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +23Neil Magny: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1871 167
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +63Neil Magny: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:154:15
Win Type ELO1 5571 424
ELO Change+63-38
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What Happened

Gilbert Burns earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +31Neil Magny: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Significant Strikes Landed54
Significant Strikes Attempted611
Total Strikes Landed104
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4561 338
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Gilbert Burns slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 83.3% vs 36.4% accuracy. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +98Neil Magny: -98

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time2:350:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 5761 297
ELO Change+98-98
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns dominated Neil Magny on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +26Neil Magny: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Days Since Last Fight28877
Activity ELO1 4241 457
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +23Neil Magny: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 2781 239
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +23Neil Magny: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1721 158
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.