January 20, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 29 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 353 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -31 |
Gilbert Burns overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (19 vs 29 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 187 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:15 | 4:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 557 | 1 424 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -38 |
Gilbert Burns earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 456 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Gilbert Burns slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 83.3% vs 36.4% accuracy. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:35 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 576 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Gilbert Burns dominated Neil Magny on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 288 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 424 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Gilbert Burns demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 278 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Gilbert Burns started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 172 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

