December 7, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 118 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 073 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 255 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Gilbert Burns earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 96 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 193 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Gilbert Burns dominated the striking exchanges with 120 vs 42 total strikes, 76 vs 40 significant strikes, 53.1% vs 41.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:17 | 0:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 33 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 237 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Gilbert Burns controlled Olivier Aubin-Mercier on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:17 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 142 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -24 |
Gilbert Burns demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Olivier Aubin-Mercier's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 093 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Gilbert Burns started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Olivier Aubin-Mercier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

