November 6, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 110 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Rashid Magomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 023 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Rashid Magomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 29 total strikes, 80 vs 28 significant strikes, 55.2% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Rashid Magomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 1:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Rashid Magomedov landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 322 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Rashid Magomedov demonstrated standard activity with 322 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rashid Magomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Burns's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +29 |
Rashid Magomedov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Burns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Burns | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

