Gilbert Burns vs Stephen Thompson

July 9, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1375
(+31)
Gilbert Burns
Winner: Gilbert Burns
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gilbert Burns+31
Stephen Thompson-28
1273
(-28)
Stephen Thompson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +29Stephen Thompson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Total UFC Fights1717
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 3461 268
ELO Change+29-19
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (17 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +20Stephen Thompson: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1911 129
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +44Stephen Thompson: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 5541 482
ELO Change+44-44
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What Happened

Gilbert Burns earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +38Stephen Thompson: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Significant Strikes Landed2919
Significant Strikes Attempted4353
Total Strikes Landed10159
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4811 441
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 59 total strikes, 29 vs 19 significant strikes, 67.4% vs 35.8% accuracy. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +43Stephen Thompson: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time7:130:00
Ground Strikes Landed130
Ground ELO1 5381 257
ELO Change+43-43
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns dominated Stephen Thompson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:13 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +29Stephen Thompson: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Days Since Last Fight147203
Activity ELO1 4281 270
ELO Change+29-14
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Stephen Thompson's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +22Stephen Thompson: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 2861 221
ELO Change+22-20
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stephen Thompson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Burns: +20Stephen Thompson: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert BurnsStephen Thompson
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1761 119
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.