Gilbert Melendez vs Jeremy Stephens

September 8, 2017

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

970
(-27)
Gilbert Melendez
Winner: Jeremy Stephens
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gilbert Melendez-27
Jeremy Stephens+29
1164
(+29)
Jeremy Stephens

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -27Jeremy Stephens: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Total UFC Fights626
Experience Gap-2020
Experience ELO9901 098
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Stephens's 20-fight experience advantage (26 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Stephens for the expected result. Had Gilbert Melendez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -18Jeremy Stephens: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9571 047
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -14Jeremy Stephens: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0181 321
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

Jeremy Stephens earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -80Jeremy Stephens: +80

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Significant Strikes Landed2996
Significant Strikes Attempted129250
Total Strikes Landed30101
Knockdowns Scored05
Striking ELO9441 356
ELO Change-80+80
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Stephens dominated the striking exchanges with 101 vs 30 total strikes, 96 vs 29 significant strikes, 38.4% vs 22.5% accuracy, including 5 devastating knockdowns. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -38Jeremy Stephens: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:001:20
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO9531 142
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Stephens landed 5 knockdowns followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -10Jeremy Stephens: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Days Since Last Fight413147
Activity ELO9871 219
ELO Change-10+20
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Stephens demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Melendez's 413-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -16Jeremy Stephens: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9611 086
ELO Change-16+17
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What Happened

Jeremy Stephens started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Melendez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gilbert Melendez: -18Jeremy Stephens: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricGilbert MelendezJeremy Stephens
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9461 039
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.