April 12, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:49 | 2:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +63 |
Robert McDaniel earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Gilbert Smith was submitted.
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 947 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Robert McDaniel dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 24 total strikes, 35 vs 14 significant strikes, 64.8% vs 41.2% accuracy. Robert McDaniel capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:50 | 6:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 885 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -115 | +115 |
Robert McDaniel dominated Gilbert Smith on the ground with 0 takedowns, 6:17 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Robert McDaniel demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Robert McDaniel capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Smith's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Robert McDaniel started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Smith | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

